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Exact formula of Completion Probability

Koji Murofushi (1134) | asked Feb 07 '14, 7:16 a.m.
Could any one let me know the exact formula of Completion Probability?
I looked at "Validate a Plan" section of, but I was not able to figure out how Completion Probability is calculated.

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Don Yang (7.7k21108137) | answered Feb 08 '14, 4:42 a.m.
I don't think there is an exact formula for completion probability but the info in the below discussions would be useful:

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